Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-18

ATL @ MIA

Home plate: Alfonso Márquez

“Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.”

A+
Umpire Grade
97.0% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, MIA
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Alfonso Márquez called the 168 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 163 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Drake Baldwin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Joe Mack — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Joe Mack — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.19▼5 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Connor Norby vs Aaron Bummer
  2. 2-0.19▼8 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Owen Caissie vs Jorge Mateo
  3. 3-0.13▼3 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Xavier Edwards vs JR Ritchie

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Drake Baldwin — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Joe Mack — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Joe Mack — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.