Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-20

HOU @ MIN

Home plate: Gabe Morales

Corner-to-corner and then some.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.2% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, MIN
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Gabe Morales called the 122 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 110 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tristan Gray — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Luke Keaschall — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Josh Bell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Josh Bell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.301 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Isaac Paredes vs Joe Ryan
  2. 2+0.284 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Victor Caratini vs Mike Burrows
  3. 3+0.208 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Cam Smith vs Yoendrys Gómez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Tristan Gray — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Luke Keaschall — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Josh Bell — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Josh Bell — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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