Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-20

MIL @ CHC

Home plate: Alex Tosi

One side pitched to a slightly bigger plate.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.1% accurate
1.4
Run Favor
runs, MIL
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex Tosi called the 157 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 143 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.302 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Joey Ortiz vs Edward Cabrera
  2. 2-0.201 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Nico Hoerner vs Kyle Harrison
  3. 3+0.202 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Jake Bauers vs Edward Cabrera

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Carson Kelly — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Miguel Amaya — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.