Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-22

DET @ BAL

Home plate: Mike Estabrook

A steady night's work behind the plate.

A
Umpire Grade
95.2% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, BAL
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Estabrook called the 145 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 138 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Kevin McGonigle — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Gage Workman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Dillon Dingler — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Riley Greene vs Keegan Akin
  2. 2-0.195 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Dillon Dingler vs Chris Bassitt
  3. 3-0.132 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Coby Mayo vs Jack Flaherty

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Adley Rutschman — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Kevin McGonigle — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Gage Workman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Dillon Dingler — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Samuel Basallo — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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