Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-25

CHC @ PIT

Home plate: Mark Ripperger

“Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.3% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, PIT
0
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Mark Ripperger called the 127 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 121 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Seiya Suzuki — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.20▼2 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Konnor Griffin vs Ben Brown
  2. 2+0.13▼7 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Spencer Horwitz vs Trent Thornton
  3. 3+0.09▲2 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Pedro Ramírez vs Carmen Mlodzinski

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Seiya Suzuki — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.