Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-25

MIA @ TOR

Home plate: Nic Lentz

No notes. Well, one: nicely done.

A+
Umpire Grade
97.5% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, TOR
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 158 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 154 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.219 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Xavier Edwards vs Tanner Andrews
  2. 2+0.138 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Kyle Stowers vs Tyler Rogers
  3. 3-0.132 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Owen Caissie vs Trey Yesavage

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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