Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-27

STL @ MIL

Home plate: Todd Tichenor

ABS had a long evening on this one.

C+
Umpire Grade
91.0% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, MIL
6
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Todd Tichenor called the 122 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 111 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Victor Scott II — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Bryan Torres — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.233 · 0-2 strike called ball
    JJ Wetherholt vs Chad Patrick
  2. 2-0.207 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Victor Scott II vs Aaron Ashby
  3. 3-0.209 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Bryan Torres vs Trevor Megill

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 6 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Victor Scott II — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Iván Herrera — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Bryan Torres — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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