Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-28

CHC @ PIT

Home plate: Dan Bellino

The zone kept its promises.

A
Umpire Grade
95.7% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, CHC
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Bellino called the 188 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 180 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.395 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Henry Davis vs Colin Rea
  2. 2+0.199 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Yohan Ramírez
  3. 3-0.138 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Tyler Callihan vs Trent Thornton

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Miguel Amaya — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Miguel Amaya — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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