Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-31

DET @ CWS

Home plate: Nic Lentz

Squeezed the edges; the hitters didn't mind at all.

B
Umpire Grade
92.6% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, CWS
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 122 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 113 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Sam Antonacci — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Drew Romo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Kevin McGonigle — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.696 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Kevin McGonigle vs Sean Burke
  2. 2+0.396 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Jahmai Jones vs Chris Murphy
  3. 3+0.282 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Jacob Gonzalez vs Keider Montero

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Sam Antonacci — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Drew Romo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Kevin McGonigle — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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