Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-03

TEX @ STL

Home plate: Tom Hanahan

Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.9% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, STL
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Tom Hanahan called the 156 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 148 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Kyle Higashioka — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Kyle Higashioka — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Kyle Higashioka — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: José Fermín — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.394 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Ezequiel Duran vs Andre Pallante
  2. 2+0.301 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged
    José Fermín vs MacKenzie Gore
  3. 3-0.135 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Thomas Saggese vs MacKenzie Gore

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Kyle Higashioka — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Kyle Higashioka — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Iván Herrera — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Kyle Higashioka — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5José Fermín — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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