Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-04

KC @ MIN

Home plate: Dan Merzel

“The zone kept its promises.”

A+
Umpire Grade
97.0% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, MIN
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Merzel called the 169 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 164 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Martin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Carter Jensen — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▼5 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Austin Martin vs Seth Lugo
  2. 2+0.13▼3 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Brooks Lee vs Seth Lugo
  3. 3+0.13▼6 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Victor Caratini vs John Schreiber

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Austin Martin — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Carter Jensen — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Victor Caratini — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.