Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-06

CIN @ STL

Home plate: Ben May

Corner-to-corner and then some.

B
Umpire Grade
92.2% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, STL
4
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Ben May called the 153 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jimmy Crooks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.309 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Sal Stewart vs Riley O'Brien
  2. 2-0.195 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Eugenio Suárez vs Gordon Graceffo
  3. 3-0.133 · 1-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Sal Stewart vs Matthew Liberatore

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Sal Stewart — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Sal Stewart — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Sal Stewart — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Jimmy Crooks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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