Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-10

PHI @ TOR

Home plate: Willie Traynor

Nothing off the plate, and not much on the black either.

B
Umpire Grade
92.8% accurate
1.0
Run Favor
runs, TOR
2
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 181 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 168 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.303 · 3-1 strike called ball
    George Springer vs Jesús Luzardo
  2. 2+0.239 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Kazuma Okamoto vs Jhoan Duran
  3. 3+0.207 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Myles Straw vs Chase Shugart

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X