Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-13

SD @ BAL

Home plate: Brennan Miller

“Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.3% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, BAL
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Brennan Miller called the 157 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 148 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Freddy Fermin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.39▲4 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Will Wagner vs Trey Gibson
  2. 2-0.20▲4 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Will Wagner vs Trey Gibson
  3. 3+0.13▲1 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Xander Bogaerts vs Trey Gibson

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Freddy Fermin — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Samuel Basallo — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Samuel Basallo — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.