Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-13

SD @ BAL

Home plate: Brennan Miller

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

B
Umpire Grade
93.0% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, BAL
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Brennan Miller called the 157 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 146 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Freddy Fermin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.394 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Will Wagner vs Trey Gibson
  2. 2-0.204 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Will Wagner vs Trey Gibson
  3. 3+0.192 · 2-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Freddy Fermin vs Trey Gibson

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Freddy Fermin — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Samuel Basallo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Samuel Basallo — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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