Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-16

SD @ STL

Home plate: Nic Lentz

The strike zone picked a side, and wasn't shy about it.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.3% accurate
2.4
Run Favor
runs, STL
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 136 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Rodolfo Durán — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Xander Bogaerts — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.692 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Lars Nootbaar vs Michael King
  2. 2-0.693 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Rodolfo Durán vs Andre Pallante
  3. 3-0.394 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Manny Machado vs Andre Pallante

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Rodolfo Durán — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Iván Herrera — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Xander Bogaerts — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Iván Herrera — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.