Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-17

MIA @ PHI

Home plate: Dexter Kelley

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.3% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, PHI
0
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Dexter Kelley called the 141 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 133 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Garrett Stubbs — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Otto Lopez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Garrett Stubbs — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.139 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Rafael Marchán vs John King
  2. 2-0.103 · 0-1 ball called strike
    Esteury Ruiz vs Tim Mayza
  3. 3-0.093 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Gabriel Rincones Jr. vs Sandy Alcantara

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Garrett Stubbs — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Otto Lopez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Garrett Stubbs — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.