Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-18

MIN @ TEX

Home plate: Mike Estabrook

The black wasn't in play tonight.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.2% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, TEX
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Estabrook called the 164 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 148 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Kyle Higashioka — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.693 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Wyatt Langford vs Joe Ryan
  2. 2+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Joc Pederson vs Joe Ryan
  3. 3-0.211 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Wyatt Langford vs Joe Ryan

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Kyle Higashioka — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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