Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-22

AZ @ STL

Home plate: Nate Tomlinson

“Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.3% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, STL
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Nate Tomlinson called the 129 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 123 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Lars Nootbaar — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Adrian Del Castillo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▼8 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Masyn Winn vs Jonathan Loáisiga
  2. 2+0.10▼6 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Blaze Jordan vs Merrill Kelly
  3. 3+0.09▲3 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Geraldo Perdomo vs Andre Pallante

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Lars Nootbaar — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Adrian Del Castillo — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.