Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-23

LAD @ MIN

Home plate: Will Little

“A tilt to the evening — the numbers say which way.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.6% accurate
1.1
Run Favor
runs, MIN
1
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Will Little called the 167 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 158 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Mookie Betts — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Andy Pages — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Mookie Betts — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼2 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Luke Keaschall vs Justin Wrobleski
  2. 2+0.28▼8 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Royce Lewis vs Edgardo Henriquez
  3. 3+0.23▼2 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Luke Keaschall vs Justin Wrobleski

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Mookie Betts — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Victor Caratini — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Andy Pages — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Mookie Betts — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.