Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-24

LAD @ MIN

Home plate: Ryan Additon

A small strike zone, generously enforced for the offense.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.8% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, LAD
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Additon called the 158 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 145 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Shohei Ohtani — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Byron Buxton — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Trevor Larnach — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Shohei Ohtani — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Dalton Rushing — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Alex Jackson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.697 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Shohei Ohtani vs Anthony Banda
  2. 2+0.307 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Brooks Lee vs Kyle Hurt
  3. 3+0.213 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Freddie Freeman vs Joe Ryan

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Shohei Ohtani — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Byron Buxton — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Trevor Larnach — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Shohei Ohtani — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Dalton Rushing — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Alex Jackson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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