Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-29

CIN @ MIL

Home plate: Dan Bellino

A clean sheet behind the plate — the kind of night nobody posts about.

A
Umpire Grade
96.2% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, CIN
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Bellino called the 159 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 153 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Dane Myers vs Robert Gasser
  2. 2+0.193 · 2-0 strike called ball· challenged
    William Contreras vs Nick Lodolo
  3. 3+0.194 · 2-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Gary Sánchez vs Nick Lodolo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Gary Sánchez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Sal Stewart — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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