Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-01

MIA @ COL

Home plate: Dexter Kelley

“Pitchers found a little extra real estate.”

C
Umpire Grade
89.4% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, COL
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Dexter Kelley called the 113 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 101 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Esteury Ruiz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Mickey Moniak — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.28▲4 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Esteury Ruiz vs Kyle Freeland
  2. 2-0.20▲2 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Leo Jiménez vs Kyle Freeland
  3. 3-0.19▲2 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Javier Sanoja vs Kyle Freeland

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Esteury Ruiz — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Mickey Moniak — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.