Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-03

MIA @ ATH

Home plate: Rob Drake

“Two dugouts, and only one of them smiling.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.1% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, MIA
3
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Rob Drake called the 188 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 175 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Shea Langeliers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Javier Sanoja — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Joe Mack — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.20▲1 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Jakob Marsee vs Jack Perkins
  2. 2+0.20▲2 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Liam Hicks vs Jack Perkins
  3. 3-0.19▼6 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Lawrence Butler vs Calvin Faucher

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Shea Langeliers — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Javier Sanoja — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Joe Mack — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.