Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-06

MIL @ STL

Home plate: Edwin Jimenez

A tilt to the evening — the numbers say which way.

B
Umpire Grade
92.9% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, STL
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Edwin Jimenez called the 141 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 131 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Sal Frelick — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: José Fermín — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Garrett Mitchell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.698 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Garrett Mitchell vs Gordon Graceffo
  2. 2-0.215 · 3-0 ball called strike
    David Hamilton vs Dustin May
  3. 3-0.195 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Garrett Mitchell vs Dustin May

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Sal Frelick — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2José Fermín — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Garrett Mitchell — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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