Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-08

HOU @ WSH

Home plate: Mark Ripperger

The zone had wings tonight.

A
Umpire Grade
95.7% accurate
1.0
Run Favor
runs, HOU
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Mark Ripperger called the 163 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 156 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: James Wood — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.691 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Curtis Mead vs Spencer Arrighetti
  2. 2-0.301 · 3-1 ball called strike· challenged
    James Wood vs Spencer Arrighetti
  3. 3-0.193 · 2-0 ball called strike
    James Wood vs Spencer Arrighetti

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1James Wood — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Keibert Ruiz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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