Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-11

PHI @ DET

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.

A
Umpire Grade
95.0% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, PHI
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 120 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 114 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Spencer Torkelson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Trea Turner — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Drew Anderson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.694 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Brandon Marsh vs Casey Mize
  2. 2-0.196 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Alec Bohm vs Casey Mize
  3. 3-0.132 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Spencer Torkelson vs Cristopher Sánchez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Spencer Torkelson — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Trea Turner — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Drew Anderson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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