Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-11

TOR @ SD

Home plate: Adam Hamari

Corner-to-corner and then some.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.1% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, TOR
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Adam Hamari called the 226 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 206 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Xander Bogaerts — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.694 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Jonatan Clase vs Matt Waldron
  2. 2+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Nathan Lukes vs Walker Buehler
  3. 3+0.211 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Xander Bogaerts vs Trey Yesavage

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Luis Campusano — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Xander Bogaerts — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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