Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-12

MIL @ PIT

Home plate: Alfonso Márquez

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

B
Umpire Grade
92.9% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, MIL
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Alfonso Márquez called the 154 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 143 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.695 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Christian Yelich vs Paul Skenes
  2. 2+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Brandon Lowe vs Robert Gasser
  3. 3+0.396 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Henry Davis vs Bryse Wilson

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Gary Sánchez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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