Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-18

NYM @ PHI

Home plate: Adam Beck

A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.

A
Umpire Grade
95.7% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, PHI
2
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Adam Beck called the 161 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 154 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Kyle Schwarber — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Francisco Lindor — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.236 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Brandon Marsh vs Kodai Senga
  2. 2+0.101 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Edmundo Sosa vs Sean Manaea
  3. 3+0.092 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Eric Wagaman vs Jesús Luzardo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Francisco Alvarez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Kyle Schwarber — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Francisco Alvarez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Francisco Alvarez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Francisco Lindor — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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