Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-20

ATH @ AZ

Home plate: Nic Lentz

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.4% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, ATH
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 137 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 128 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Shea Langeliers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Shea Langeliers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.109 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Jonah Heim vs Brandyn Garcia
  2. 2-0.091 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Tyler Soderstrom vs Mitch Bratt
  3. 3-0.093 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Joshua Kuroda-Grauer vs Mitch Bratt

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gabriel Moreno — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Shea Langeliers — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Gabriel Moreno — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Shea Langeliers — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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