Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-21

CIN @ SEA

Home plate: Chad Fairchild

Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.8% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, SEA
0
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Chad Fairchild called the 155 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 147 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.396 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Dominic Canzone vs Sam Moll
  2. 2+0.396 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Julio Rodríguez vs Tejay Antone
  3. 3+0.238 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Weston Wilson vs Julian Garcia

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jose Trevino — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Cal Raleigh — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Jose Trevino — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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