Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-24

LAD @ NYM

Home plate: Mike Estabrook

The Automated Ball-Strike System put in some overtime here.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.8% accurate
1.1
Run Favor
runs, LAD
5
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Estabrook called the 122 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 112 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Shohei Ohtani — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Juan Soto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Andy Pages — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: A.J. Ewing — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.694 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Kyle Tucker vs Sean Manaea
  2. 2-0.204 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Teoscar Hernández vs Sean Manaea
  3. 3+0.133 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Andy Pages vs Sean Manaea

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Shohei Ohtani — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Juan Soto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Francisco Alvarez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Andy Pages — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5A.J. Ewing — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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