Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-24

SD @ MIA

Home plate: Lance Barksdale

“The zone kept its promises.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.8% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, SD
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Lance Barksdale called the 172 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 163 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Xander Bogaerts — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Esteury Ruiz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲7 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Manny Machado vs Tyler Zuber
  2. 2+0.13▲1 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Fernando Tatis Jr. vs Ryan Gusto
  3. 3+0.13▼7 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Otto Lopez vs Bradgley Rodriguez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Xander Bogaerts — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Esteury Ruiz — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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