Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-24

TOR @ BOS

Home plate: Adrian Johnson

Two dugouts, and only one of them smiling.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.3% accurate
1.4
Run Favor
runs, TOR
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Adrian Johnson called the 163 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 152 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Connor Wong — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Connor Wong — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Caleb Durbin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: George Springer — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Yohendrick Piñango — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.308 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Ceddanne Rafaela vs CJ Van Eyk
  2. 2+0.287 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Greg Weissert
  3. 3+0.131 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Alejandro Kirk vs Patrick Sandoval

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Connor Wong — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Connor Wong — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Alejandro Kirk — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Caleb Durbin — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5George Springer — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Alejandro Kirk — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Yohendrick Piñango — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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