Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 8 HIT · 12 MISS · 1 OPEN
Support the paperGet the Digest
THE TAPE · 30-NIGHT CARD MOVES VS THE HOBBY · AS OF OCTOBER 4, 2026◆▲ CAM SCHLITTLER — ROOKIE PSA 10 +276% $130◆▲ SAL STEWART — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +174.7% $311◆▲ BRANDON MARSH — ROOKIE PSA 10 +120.5% $20.00◆▲ ETHAN SALAS — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +65.6% $62.09◆▲ BRODY HOPKINS — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +62.8% $125◆▲ JUNIOR CAMINERO — ROOKIE PSA 10 +55.5% $62.13◆▼ TANNER MCDOUGAL — ROOKIE PSA 10 -53.6% $13.00◆▲ BUBBA CHANDLER — ROOKIE PSA 10 +49.4% $52.50◆▼ SHEA LANGELIERS — ROOKIE PSA 10 -46.9% $82.71◆▲ SPENCER JONES — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +41.1% $210◆
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-24

TOR @ BOS

Home plate: Adrian Johnson

“Two dugouts, and only one of them smiling.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.8% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, TOR
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Adrian Johnson called the 163 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 148 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Connor Wong — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Connor Wong — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Caleb Durbin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: George Springer — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Yohendrick Piñango — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲1 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Kazuma Okamoto vs Patrick Sandoval
  2. 2-0.30▼8 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Ceddanne Rafaela vs CJ Van Eyk
  3. 3-0.28▲5 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    George Springer vs Patrick Sandoval

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Connor Wong — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Connor Wong — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Caleb Durbin — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5George Springer — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Yohendrick Piñango — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X