Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-25

ATL @ BAL

Home plate: D.J. Reyburn

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

A
Umpire Grade
95.3% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, ATL
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how D.J. Reyburn called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 142 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Matt Olson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Chadwick Tromp — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Matt Olson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Chadwick Tromp — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Matt Olson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.238 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Mauricio Dubón vs Rico Garcia
  2. 2-0.213 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Christian Encarnacion-Strand vs Bryce Elder
  3. 3+0.091 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Drake Baldwin vs Brandon Young

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Matt Olson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Chadwick Tromp — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Matt Olson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Chadwick Tromp — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Matt Olson — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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