Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-26

SEA @ TEX

Home plate: Nick Mahrley

Generous with the corners — the pitchers said thank you.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.0% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, SEA
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Nick Mahrley called the 145 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 132 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Randy Arozarena — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Colt Emerson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Justin Foscue — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.304 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Brandon Nimmo vs Logan Gilbert
  2. 2+0.204 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Randy Arozarena vs Jacob deGrom
  3. 3-0.194 · 2-0 ball called strike
    J.P. Crawford vs Jacob deGrom

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Randy Arozarena — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Colt Emerson — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Justin Foscue — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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