Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-27

ATL @ NYM

Home plate: Ron Kulpa

If it was close, it was a strike. The hitters noticed.

B
Umpire Grade
92.3% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, NYM
3
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Ron Kulpa called the 155 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 143 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Joey Bart — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jared Young — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jared Young — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 5: Mauricio Dubón — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Matt Olson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.398 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Luis Robert Jr. vs Jorge Mateo
  2. 2+0.196 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Francisco Lindor vs Connor Thomas
  3. 3-0.133 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Bo Bichette vs Martín Pérez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Joey Bart — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Jared Young — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Jared Young — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Matt Olson — ump said , robot ruled : overturned.
  5. 5Mauricio Dubón — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Francisco Alvarez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7Matt Olson — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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