Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-28

KC @ MIN

Home plate: Marvin Hudson

ABS had a long evening on this one.

A
Umpire Grade
95.5% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, KC
5
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Marvin Hudson called the 157 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 150 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Carter Jensen — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Carter Jensen — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Jac Caglianone — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Josh Rojas — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Carter Jensen — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.693 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Trevor Larnach vs Seth Lugo
  2. 2-0.283 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Ryan Kreidler vs Seth Lugo
  3. 3+0.206 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Josh Rojas vs Taj Bradley

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Carter Jensen — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Carter Jensen — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Jac Caglianone — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Josh Rojas — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Ryan Jeffers — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Carter Jensen — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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