Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-28

SEA @ LAD

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

A steady night's work behind the plate.

B
Umpire Grade
92.8% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, SEA
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 139 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 129 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Dalton Rushing — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Josh Naylor — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.394 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Rob Refsnyder vs Justin Wrobleski
  2. 2-0.301 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Randy Arozarena vs Justin Wrobleski
  3. 3+0.109 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Max Muncy vs Andrés Muñoz

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Dalton Rushing — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Josh Naylor — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Cal Raleigh — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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