Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-29

ATL @ NYM

Home plate: Scott Barry

The strike zone picked a side, and wasn't shy about it.

B
Umpire Grade
92.8% accurate
1.1
Run Favor
runs, ATL
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Scott Barry called the 139 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 129 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Joey Bart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.692 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Michael Harris II vs Sean Manaea
  2. 2-0.216 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Tyrone Taylor vs Victor Mederos
  3. 3+0.202 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Jared Young vs AJ Smith-Shawver

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Joey Bart — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Francisco Alvarez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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