Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-29

CHC @ STL

Home plate: Todd Tichenor

A steady night's work behind the plate.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.6% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, STL
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Todd Tichenor called the 156 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 146 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Michael Conforto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: José Fermín — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.304 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Alex Bregman vs Dustin May
  2. 2+0.207 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Michael Conforto vs Ryne Stanek
  3. 3+0.196 · 2-0 strike called ball
    José Fermín vs Matthew Boyd

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Miguel Amaya — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Michael Conforto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Miguel Amaya — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4José Fermín — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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