Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-30

NYY @ CWS

Home plate: Alex MacKay

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A
Umpire Grade
95.3% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, CWS
1
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex MacKay called the 171 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 163 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Everson Pereira — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Jazz Chisholm Jr. — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Anthony Volpe — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Ali Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Ali Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.305 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Chase Meidroth vs Ryan Weathers
  2. 2-0.211 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Ben Rice vs Sean Burke
  3. 3-0.2111 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Paul Goldschmidt vs Seranthony Domínguez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 5 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Everson Pereira — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Jazz Chisholm Jr. — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Anthony Volpe — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Ali Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Ali Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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