Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-31

PIT @ CIN

Home plate: Dan Bellino

Expanded the plate a touch past its 17 inches.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.8% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, PIT
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Bellino called the 159 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 146 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Esmerlyn Valdez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Ryan O'Hearn — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Endy Rodríguez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.211 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Jake Mangum vs Hunter Greene
  2. 2+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball
    JJ Bleday vs Paul Skenes
  3. 3-0.131 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Nathaniel Lowe vs Paul Skenes

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Esmerlyn Valdez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Ryan O'Hearn — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Endy Rodríguez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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