Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-31

WSH @ ATL

Home plate: Bill Miller

Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.

A
Umpire Grade
96.0% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, WSH
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Bill Miller called the 152 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 146 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Harry Ford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Harry Ford — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Harry Ford — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Joey Bart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.212 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Harry Ford vs Bryce Elder
  2. 2+0.134 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Harry Ford vs Bryce Elder
  3. 3+0.138 · 1-1 strike called ball
    CJ Abrams vs Elieser Hernández

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Harry Ford — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Harry Ford — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Harry Ford — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Joey Bart — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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