Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-01

STL @ TOR

Home plate: Rob Drake

A steady night's work behind the plate.

A
Umpire Grade
96.0% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, STL
0
ABS Overturns
of 1 reviewed

What this shows — how Rob Drake called the 152 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 146 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.239 · 0-2 strike called ball
    JJ Wetherholt vs Tyler Rogers
  2. 2-0.131 · 1-0 ball called strike
    George Springer vs Quinn Mathews
  3. 3-0.138 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Lars Nootbaar vs Jeff Hoffman

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

1 pitch went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 1 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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