Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-01

WSH @ ATL

Home plate: John Bacon

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.8% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, ATL
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how John Bacon called the 130 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 122 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Dominic Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Dominic Smith — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Dylan Crews — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Matt Olson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.284 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Dominic Smith vs Miles Mikolas
  2. 2+0.137 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Dominic Smith vs Riley Cornelio
  3. 3+0.138 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Luis García Jr. vs Danny Young

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Keibert Ruiz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Dominic Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Keibert Ruiz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Dominic Smith — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Dylan Crews — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Matt Olson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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