Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-02

AZ @ CLE

Home plate: Jonathan Parra

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

B
Umpire Grade
93.0% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, AZ
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Jonathan Parra called the 157 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 146 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Geraldo Perdomo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.135 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Max Kepler vs Gavin Williams
  2. 2+0.135 · 1-1 strike called ball
    José Ramírez vs Merrill Kelly
  3. 3+0.102 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Gabriel Arias vs Merrill Kelly

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Geraldo Perdomo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Patrick Bailey — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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