Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-02

BOS @ LAD

Home plate: Mike Muchlinski

Off the corner was close enough tonight.

C
Umpire Grade
89.8% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, BOS
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Muchlinski called the 167 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 150 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Kyle Tucker — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Carlos Narváez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Ceddanne Rafaela — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Eliezer Alfonzo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Caleb Durbin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.691 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Nick Sogard vs Emmet Sheehan
  2. 2+0.231 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Tommy Edman vs Jake Bennett
  3. 3+0.139 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Andruw Monasterio vs Wyatt Mills

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Kyle Tucker — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Carlos Narváez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Ceddanne Rafaela — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Eliezer Alfonzo — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Caleb Durbin — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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