Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-02

PIT @ CIN

Home plate: Jacob Metz

One side pitched to a slightly bigger plate.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.9% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, CIN
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Jacob Metz called the 176 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 160 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Endy Rodríguez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Esmerlyn Valdez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.303 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Dane Myers vs Mitch Keller
  2. 2-0.287 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Endy Rodríguez vs Brock Burke
  3. 3-0.204 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Esmerlyn Valdez vs Chase Burns

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Endy Rodríguez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Esmerlyn Valdez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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