Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-08

COL @ STL

Home plate: Willie Traynor

A steady night's work behind the plate.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.5% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, COL
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 185 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 173 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Matthew Liberatore — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Willi Castro — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Willi Castro — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Everson Pereira — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.216 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Ezequiel Tovar vs Luis Gastelum
  2. 2-0.206 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Alec Burleson vs Parker Mushinski
  3. 3+0.191 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Kyle Karros vs Matthew Liberatore

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Matthew Liberatore — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Willi Castro — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Willi Castro — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Everson Pereira — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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